← Explore · Market 676829

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

90.5% implied · bid 90.0¢ · ask 91.0¢

The market prices this at 91.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability91.0%

Bid / ask / mid90.0¢ / 91.0¢ / 90.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (1.1%)

Change 24h+3.00pt

Change 7d+19.50pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 71% to the bid (buyers).

Volume 24h$6,746

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,912 / $5,178

Imbalance71% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score49.0 / 100

RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.2σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean2.25

RSI (14, hourly)75.0

Realized vol 7d1.40pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%