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← Explore · Market 677147

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

7.0% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 8.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 8.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.

Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 8.0¢ / 7.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (28.6%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-0.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,292
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$631 / $677
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 57 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.08
RSI (14, hourly)57.1
Realized vol 7d0.39pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth