← Explore · Market 677166
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?
14.1% implied · bid 10.6¢ · ask 17.5¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.6%, up 3.7pt over 24h, on a 6.9¢ spread.
Implied probability15.6%
Bid / ask / mid10.6¢ / 17.5¢ / 14.1¢
Spread6.9¢ (49.1%)
Change 24h+3.70pt
Change 7d+11.70pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 16/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$212
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$29 / $40
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score15.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 16 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean2.00
RSI (14, hourly)16.0
Realized vol 7d1.02pt
Change 1h+0.35pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 202d 21h.
Time to resolve202d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%