← Explore · Market 677167
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
24.2% implied · bid 23.7¢ · ask 24.7¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 10.5%, up 13.9pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability10.5%
Bid / ask / mid23.7¢ / 24.7¢ / 24.2¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.1%)
Change 24h+13.90pt
Change 7d+13.85pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$191
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$195 / $87
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 63 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.38
RSI (14, hourly)62.8
Realized vol 7d1.22pt
Change 1h+0.20pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 202d 21h.
Time to resolve202d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%