← Explore · Market 677168
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
30.5% implied · bid 29.0¢ · ask 32.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 32.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability32.0%
Bid / ask / mid29.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 30.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (9.8%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+18.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$73
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$91 / $85
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 44 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 2.0σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.99
RSI (14, hourly)44.4
Realized vol 7d0.83pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 202d 21h.
Time to resolve202d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%