← Explore · Market 677169
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?
24.0% implied · bid 21.0¢ · ask 27.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 26.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 6.0¢ spread.
Implied probability26.0%
Bid / ask / mid21.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 24.0¢
Spread6.0¢ (25.0%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d-42.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 20/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$16
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$106 / $117
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score20.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 55 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.76
RSI (14, hourly)54.5
Realized vol 7d2.61pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 202d 21h.
Time to resolve202d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%