← Explore · Market 677273
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
11.5% implied · bid 10.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid10.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 11.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (26.1%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 36/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,513
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$30 / $1,559
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.8σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.77
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.12pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%