← Explore · Market 677273
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
9.5% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 10.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 10.0¢ / 9.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (10.5%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d-2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,267
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$115 / $325
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.03
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.49pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 0d 0h.
Time to resolve0d 0h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%