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← Explore · Market 677394

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

7.0% implied · bid 6.7¢ · ask 7.3¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 7.3%, up 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability7.3%
Bid / ask / mid6.7¢ / 7.3¢ / 7.0¢
Spread0.6¢ (8.6%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d-0.70pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$970 / $269
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 46 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.17
RSI (14, hourly)46.3
Realized vol 7d0.14pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth