← Explore · Market 677396

Iran Nuke before 2027?

5.9% implied · bid 5.8¢ · ask 5.9¢

The market prices this at 5.2%, up 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability5.2%

Bid / ask / mid5.8¢ / 5.9¢ / 5.9¢

Spread0.1¢ (1.7%)

Change 24h+0.25pt

Change 7d-0.40pt

Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$4,735

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,205 / $2,967

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score52.1 / 100

RSI 61 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.34

RSI (14, hourly)61.1

Realized vol 7d0.11pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%