← Explore · Market 677407
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
7.8% implied · bid 7.8¢ · ask 7.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.9%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability7.9%
Bid / ask / mid7.8¢ / 7.9¢ / 7.8¢
Spread0.1¢ (1.3%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d+0.70pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 52/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,719
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$5,342 / $646
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score52.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.85
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 127d 22h.
Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%