← Explore · Market 678747
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
77.3% implied · bid 77.3¢ · ask 77.4¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 77.0%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability77.0%
Bid / ask / mid77.3¢ / 77.4¢ / 77.3¢
Spread0.1¢ (0.1%)
Change 24h+0.15pt
Change 7d+2.20pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$20
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$479 / $207
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score49.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.09
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.38pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 127d 22h.
Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%