← Explore · Market 678747
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
53.8% implied · bid 52.7¢ · ask 54.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 52.7%, up 10.4pt over 24h, on a 2.1¢ spread.
Implied probability52.7%
Bid / ask / mid52.7¢ / 54.8¢ / 53.8¢
Spread2.1¢ (3.9%)
Change 24h+10.40pt
Change 7d-6.35pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 40/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,414
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$92 / $86
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score39.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.42
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d1.34pt
Change 1h+0.20pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%