← Explore · Market 678748
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
28.9% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 30.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 29.6%, down 0.8pt over 24h, on a 3.8¢ spread.
Implied probability29.6%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 30.8¢ / 28.9¢
Spread3.8¢ (13.1%)
Change 24h-0.75pt
Change 7d+0.45pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,633
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$70 / $18
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score31.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 23 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.5σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.51
RSI (14, hourly)22.6
Realized vol 7d1.34pt
Change 1h-0.50pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%