← Explore · Market 678749
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
5.0% implied · bid 3.0¢ · ask 6.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 6.0%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 3.9¢ spread.
Implied probability6.0%
Bid / ask / mid3.0¢ / 6.9¢ / 5.0¢
Spread3.9¢ (78.8%)
Change 24h-0.10pt
Change 7d+1.85pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 31/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$20
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$112 / $11
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score30.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.95
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.38pt
Change 1h-0.10pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 127d 22h.
Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%