← Explore · Market 678749
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
4.5% implied · bid 3.2¢ · ask 5.8¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.8%, up 0.8pt over 24h, on a 2.6¢ spread.
Implied probability3.8%
Bid / ask / mid3.2¢ / 5.8¢ / 4.5¢
Spread2.6¢ (57.8%)
Change 24h+0.75pt
Change 7d+0.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$61
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$184 / $12
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score37.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 93 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.05
RSI (14, hourly)93.3
Realized vol 7d0.46pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%