← Explore · Market 678750
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
1.8% implied · bid 1.6¢ · ask 2.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 2.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.4¢ spread.
Implied probability2.0%
Bid / ask / mid1.6¢ / 2.0¢ / 1.8¢
Spread0.4¢ (22.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.05pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$16
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$98 / $35
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 7.3σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean7.26
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.01pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%