← Explore · Market 678751

Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026?

1.2% implied · bid 0.7¢ · ask 1.7¢

The market prices this at 0.5%, up 0.6pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability0.5%

Bid / ask / mid0.7¢ / 1.7¢ / 1.2¢

Spread1.0¢ (83.3%)

Change 24h+0.60pt

Change 7d+0.85pt

Moderately liquid (score 45/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$146

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$33 / $9

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.0 / 100

RSI 83 (overbought); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.30

RSI (14, hourly)83.3

Realized vol 7d0.09pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%