← Explore · Market 679018

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

32.3% implied · bid 32.2¢ · ask 32.3¢

The market prices this at 32.3%, up 0.8pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability32.3%

Bid / ask / mid32.2¢ / 32.3¢ / 32.3¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.3%)

Change 24h+0.80pt

Change 7d-1.15pt

Deep and tight (score 90/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$44,488

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$46,754 / $34,949

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score90.4 / 100

RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.31

RSI (14, hourly)60.3

Realized vol 7d0.17pt

Change 1h-0.35pt

Resolves in 247d 23h.

Time to resolve247d 23h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%