← Explore · Market 679018

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

27.1% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 27.1¢

The market prices this at 27.0%, up 1.6pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability27.0%

Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 27.1¢ / 27.1¢

Spread0.1¢ (0.4%)

Change 24h+1.60pt

Change 7d+18.55pt

Deep and tight (score 97/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$40,688

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$82,975 / $11,787

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score96.9 / 100

RSI 64 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.44

RSI (14, hourly)64.3

Realized vol 7d1.29pt

Change 1h-0.20pt

Resolves in 293d 22h.

Time to resolve293d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%