← Explore · Market 679021

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

26.5% implied · bid 26.0¢ · ask 27.0¢

The market prices this at 27.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability27.0%

Bid / ask / mid26.0¢ / 27.0¢ / 26.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (3.8%)

Change 24h+0.00pt

Change 7d+6.00pt

Deep and tight (score 95/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10,822

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$101,626 / $7,781

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score95.0 / 100

RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.70

RSI (14, hourly)100.0

Realized vol 7d0.37pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 293d 22h.

Time to resolve293d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%