← Explore · Market 679021
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
24.5% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 25.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 25.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 25.0¢ / 24.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 71/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$34,755
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$40,951 / $10,445
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score70.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.66
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 247d 22h.
Time to resolve247d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%