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← Explore · Market 679021

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

24.5% implied · bid 24.0¢ · ask 25.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 25.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability25.0%
Bid / ask / mid24.0¢ / 25.0¢ / 24.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (4.1%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 69/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$34,755
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$37,106 / $11,385
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score69.2 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.7σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.68
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.08pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 247d 23h.

Time to resolve247d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth