← Explore · Market 679026
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
3.9% implied · bid 3.8¢ · ask 3.9¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.9%, down 0.8pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.
Implied probability3.9%
Bid / ask / mid3.8¢ / 3.9¢ / 3.9¢
Spread0.1¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h-0.80pt
Change 7d+0.10pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 53/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,493
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$4,495 / $2,907
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score53.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.37
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.15pt
Change 1h-0.20pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 247d 23h.
Time to resolve247d 23h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%