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← Explore · Market 679033

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

0.1% implied · bid 0.1¢ · ask 0.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 0.2%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability0.2%
Bid / ask / mid0.1¢ / 0.2¢ / 0.1¢
Spread0.1¢ (66.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$172,011
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,311 / $757
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score51.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 574752716690400.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean574752716690400.50
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 247d 22h.

Time to resolve247d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth