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← Explore · Market 680951

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

6.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 7.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 7.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d-1.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$500
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,557 / $1,812
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.41
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.20pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth