← Explore · Market 680952
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?
3.7% implied · bid 3.4¢ · ask 4.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 3.7%, down 1.4pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability3.7%
Bid / ask / mid3.4¢ / 4.0¢ / 3.7¢
Spread0.6¢ (16.2%)
Change 24h-1.40pt
Change 7d+0.30pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$143 / $55
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.10
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.19pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%