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← Explore · Market 680952

Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?

4.3% implied · bid 4.1¢ · ask 4.4¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.3%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.3¢ spread.

Implied probability3.3%
Bid / ask / mid4.1¢ / 4.4¢ / 4.3¢
Spread0.3¢ (7.1%)
Change 24h-0.25pt
Change 7d+0.55pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$184 / $7
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean-1.26
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.47pt
Change 1h-0.25pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth