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← Explore · Market 680953

Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?

2.9% implied · bid 2.3¢ · ask 3.5¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 2.1%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 1.2¢ spread.

Implied probability2.1%
Bid / ask / mid2.3¢ / 3.5¢ / 2.9¢
Spread1.2¢ (41.4%)
Change 24h+0.05pt
Change 7d-0.75pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 44/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$82 / $2
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score44.0 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 3.4σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-3.39
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.06pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth