← Explore · Market 682705
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
27.5% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 28.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 28.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability28.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 28.0¢ / 27.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.6%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$23,689
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,775 / $13,762
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score59.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.08
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.46pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 127d 22h.
Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%