← Explore · Market 682705
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
38.5% implied · bid 38.0¢ · ask 39.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 38.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability38.0%
Bid / ask / mid38.0¢ / 39.0¢ / 38.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Deep and tight (score 75/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$10,491
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,121 / $45,727
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score75.4 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.84
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d0.43pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%