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← Explore · Market 682705

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

27.5% implied · bid 27.0¢ · ask 28.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 28.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability28.0%
Bid / ask / mid27.0¢ / 28.0¢ / 27.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.6%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 60/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$23,689
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,775 / $13,762
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score59.8 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.08
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.46pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth