a Refacto tool
AdvertisementYour banner here · 728 × 90 · ads@refacto.app

← Explore · Market 682705

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

38.5% implied · bid 38.0¢ · ask 39.0¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 38.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability38.0%
Bid / ask / mid38.0¢ / 39.0¢ / 38.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (2.6%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d-1.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Deep and tight (score 75/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 10% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$10,491
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,121 / $45,727
Imbalance10% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score75.4 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.8σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.84
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d0.43pt
Change 1h+1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth