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← Explore · Market 682706

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

5.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 6.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 5.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 6.0¢ / 5.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$2,440
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,146 / $1,483
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score46.3 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 39912676014910.5σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-39912676014910.46
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.00pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth