← Explore · Market 682706
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
12.5% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 13.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 12.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability12.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 13.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (8.0%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+1.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,148
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,859 / $2,342
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score48.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.29
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.23pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%