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← Explore · Market 682708

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

39.8% implied · bid 39.7¢ · ask 39.9¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 39.9%, down 0.2pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability39.9%
Bid / ask / mid39.7¢ / 39.9¢ / 39.8¢
Spread0.2¢ (0.5%)
Change 24h-0.15pt
Change 7d+4.60pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$5,437
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$15,850 / $8,381
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score61.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 52 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.64
RSI (14, hourly)51.7
Realized vol 7d0.39pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth