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Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

54.9% implied · bid 54.4¢ · ask 55.5¢

The market prices this at 54.4%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 1.1¢ spread.

Implied probability54.4%

Bid / ask / mid54.4¢ / 55.5¢ / 54.9¢

Spread1.1¢ (2.0%)

Change 24h-3.50pt

Change 7d+1.85pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$7,959

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,235 / $6,423

Imbalance6% bid

Large trades (>$1k)1

Liquidity score51.3 / 100

RSI 14 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.89

RSI (14, hourly)13.9

Realized vol 7d0.43pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%