← Explore · Market 682710

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

5.5% implied · bid 5.4¢ · ask 5.5¢

The market prices this at 5.4%, up 1.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability5.4%

Bid / ask / mid5.4¢ / 5.5¢ / 5.5¢

Spread0.1¢ (1.8%)

Change 24h+1.10pt

Change 7d+0.65pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$12,109

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,198 / $1,143

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score50.7 / 100

RSI 63 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.79

RSI (14, hourly)63.1

Realized vol 7d0.23pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 127d 22h.

Time to resolve127d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%