← Explore · Market 682710

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

3.3% implied · bid 3.2¢ · ask 3.4¢

The market prices this at 3.2%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability3.2%

Bid / ask / mid3.2¢ / 3.4¢ / 3.3¢

Spread0.2¢ (6.1%)

Change 24h-0.05pt

Change 7d-0.35pt

Moderately liquid (score 51/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,126

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$2,928 / $1,262

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score51.1 / 100

RSI 40 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.58

RSI (14, hourly)40.0

Realized vol 7d0.04pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%