← Explore · Market 687642
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
8.5% implied · bid 8.0¢ · ask 9.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 8.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability8.0%
Bid / ask / mid8.0¢ / 9.0¢ / 8.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d+1.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 50/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 2% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,254
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7,083 / $3,078
Imbalance2% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score50.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.6σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.60
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.20pt
Change 1h+1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 127d 22h.
Time to resolve127d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%