← Explore · Market 690201
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?
5.1% implied · bid 4.8¢ · ask 5.4¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.
Implied probability5.6%
Bid / ask / mid4.8¢ / 5.4¢ / 5.1¢
Spread0.6¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.25pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$102 / $43
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.13
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%