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← Explore · Market 690201

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.75% or higher before 2027?

5.1% implied · bid 4.8¢ · ask 5.4¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 5.6%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.6¢ spread.

Implied probability5.6%
Bid / ask / mid4.8¢ / 5.4¢ / 5.1¢
Spread0.6¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-0.25pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 47/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$0
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$102 / $43
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score47.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.1σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean3.13
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth