← Explore · Market 690202

Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?

20.1% implied · bid 19.2¢ · ask 21.0¢

The market prices this at 20.8%, down 0.9pt over 24h, on a 1.8¢ spread.

Implied probability20.8%

Bid / ask / mid19.2¢ / 21.0¢ / 20.1¢

Spread1.8¢ (9.0%)

Change 24h-0.90pt

Change 7d+6.10pt

Moderately liquid (score 42/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$459

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$619 / $753

Imbalance1% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score41.7 / 100

RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.66

RSI (14, hourly)74.6

Realized vol 7d1.31pt

Change 1h+0.15pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%