← Explore · Market 690221
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?
16.5% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 19.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 15.0%, up 0.5pt over 24h, on a 5.0¢ spread.
Implied probability15.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 19.0¢ / 16.5¢
Spread5.0¢ (30.3%)
Change 24h+0.50pt
Change 7d-5.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 25/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$337
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$120 / $7
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score25.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 60 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.4σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.41
RSI (14, hourly)60.0
Realized vol 7d0.54pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%