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← Explore · Market 690691

Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?

6.9% implied · bid 5.5¢ · ask 8.2¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 5.1%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 2.7¢ spread.

Implied probability5.1%
Bid / ask / mid5.5¢ / 8.2¢ / 6.9¢
Spread2.7¢ (39.4%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+2.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$262
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$130 / $114
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score36.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 54 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.33
RSI (14, hourly)54.2
Realized vol 7d0.27pt
Change 1h+0.20pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 37d 2h.

Time to resolve37d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth