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← Explore · Market 690692

Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?

12.5% implied · bid 11.0¢ · ask 14.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 9.0%, down 2.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid11.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 12.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (24.0%)
Change 24h-2.00pt
Change 7d-5.50pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 45% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$3,915
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$41 / $74
Imbalance45% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score35.1 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 38 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 4.6σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-4.57
RSI (14, hourly)37.5
Realized vol 7d0.70pt
Change 1h+0.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 129d 3h.

Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth