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Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?

13.3% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 13.5¢

The market prices this at 13.0%, up 0.4pt over 24h, on a 0.5¢ spread.

Implied probability13.0%

Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 13.5¢ / 13.3¢

Spread0.5¢ (3.8%)

Change 24h+0.40pt

Change 7d+0.75pt

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$24

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$403 / $674

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score48.0 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.3σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.29

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.11pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 173d 21h.

Time to resolve173d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%