← Explore · Market 701496

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?

31.5% implied · bid 31.0¢ · ask 32.0¢

The market prices this at 32.0%, up 6.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability32.0%

Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 31.5¢

Spread1.0¢ (3.2%)

Change 24h+6.50pt

Change 7d+24.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 5% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$100,236

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,896 / $1,834

Imbalance5% bid

Large trades (>$1k)11

Liquidity score49.4 / 100

RSI 67 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.60

RSI (14, hourly)66.7

Realized vol 7d0.99pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 129d 0h.

Time to resolve129d 0h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%