← Explore · Market 701501
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
66.5% implied · bid 66.0¢ · ask 67.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 67.0%, down 4.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability67.0%
Bid / ask / mid66.0¢ / 67.0¢ / 66.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h-4.00pt
Change 7d-9.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 23% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$2,563
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,239 / $11,261
Imbalance23% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score53.8 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 17 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.2σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.16
RSI (14, hourly)16.7
Realized vol 7d0.70pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 175d 2h.
Time to resolve175d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%