← Explore · Market 701502
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
10.0% implied · bid 9.0¢ · ask 11.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 9.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability9.0%
Bid / ask / mid9.0¢ / 11.0¢ / 10.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (20.0%)
Change 24h+1.00pt
Change 7d-11.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 61/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 11% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$170,289
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$33,657 / $8,286
Imbalance11% bid
Large trades (>$1k)7
Liquidity score61.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 67 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.90
RSI (14, hourly)66.7
Realized vol 7d0.74pt
Change 1h-1.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 1h.
Time to resolve129d 1h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%