← Explore · Market 701548
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
19.5% implied · bid 19.0¢ · ask 20.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 20.0%, up 5.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability20.0%
Bid / ask / mid19.0¢ / 20.0¢ / 19.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (5.1%)
Change 24h+5.00pt
Change 7d+14.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$1,268
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$682 / $751
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score45.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.6σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.61
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.57pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 3h.
Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%