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← Explore · Market 701549

Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?

31.5% implied · bid 31.0¢ · ask 32.0¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 30.0%, up 1.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.

Implied probability30.0%
Bid / ask / mid31.0¢ / 32.0¢ / 31.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.2%)
Change 24h+1.50pt
Change 7d+22.00pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 4% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$11,692
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,752 / $4,001
Imbalance4% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score47.9 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 75 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean1.00
RSI (14, hourly)75.0
Realized vol 7d0.93pt
Change 1h+1.00pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 129d 3h.

Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth