← Explore · Market 701552
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
67.1% implied · bid 66.0¢ · ask 68.2¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 66.3%, down 1.3pt over 24h, on a 2.2¢ spread.
Implied probability66.3%
Bid / ask / mid66.0¢ / 68.2¢ / 67.1¢
Spread2.2¢ (3.3%)
Change 24h-1.35pt
Change 7d-10.90pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 71/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 12% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$6,102
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,420 / $60,970
Imbalance12% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score71.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.1σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.11
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.51pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 175d 2h.
Time to resolve175d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%