← Explore · Market 703257
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
6.5% implied · bid 6.0¢ · ask 7.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 7.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability7.0%
Bid / ask / mid6.0¢ / 7.0¢ / 6.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 71/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$47,380
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$28,702 / $24,266
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score71.5 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.8σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.82
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.09pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%