← Explore · Market 703257

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

3.9% implied · bid 3.8¢ · ask 3.9¢

The market prices this at 3.8%, down 0.1pt over 24h, on a 0.1¢ spread.

Implied probability3.8%

Bid / ask / mid3.8¢ / 3.9¢ / 3.9¢

Spread0.1¢ (2.6%)

Change 24h-0.10pt

Change 7d-0.65pt

Deep and tight (score 78/100) — you can trade real size with little slippage. Order book leans 13% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$32,988

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$33,980 / $22,589

Imbalance13% bid

Large trades (>$1k)3

Liquidity score77.8 / 100

RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.0σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.00

RSI (14, hourly)50.0

Realized vol 7d0.13pt

Change 1h+0.00pt

Resolves in 129d 3h.

Time to resolve129d 3h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%