← Explore · Market 704474
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
95.8% implied · bid 95.3¢ · ask 96.2¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 95.5%, down 0.3pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.
Implied probability95.5%
Bid / ask / mid95.3¢ / 96.2¢ / 95.8¢
Spread0.9¢ (0.9%)
Change 24h-0.30pt
Change 7d-0.85pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 56/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 88% to the bid (buyers).
Volume 24h$162
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$13,120 / $7,268
Imbalance88% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score55.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 36 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.85
RSI (14, hourly)35.7
Realized vol 7d0.11pt
Change 1h-0.20pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 38d 21h.
Time to resolve38d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%