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← Explore · Market 704475

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

3.5% implied · bid 3.4¢ · ask 3.6¢

A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 3.8%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 0.2¢ spread.

Implied probability3.8%
Bid / ask / mid3.4¢ / 3.6¢ / 3.5¢
Spread0.2¢ (5.7%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d+0.05pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$22,291
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,260 / $5,022
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)3
Liquidity score54.6 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 55 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean0.21
RSI (14, hourly)54.8
Realized vol 7d0.15pt
Change 1h+0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 38d 21h.

Time to resolve38d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth