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Will Jay Collins be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

1.3% implied · bid 0.8¢ · ask 1.7¢

The market prices this at 1.8%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 0.9¢ spread.

Implied probability1.8%

Bid / ask / mid0.8¢ / 1.7¢ / 1.3¢

Spread0.9¢ (72.0%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d+0.65pt

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$1,240

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$7 / $525

Imbalance0% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.8 / 100

RSI 79 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 5.3σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean5.25

RSI (14, hourly)78.9

Realized vol 7d0.09pt

Change 1h+0.10pt

Resolves in 38d 21h.

Time to resolve38d 21h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%