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← Explore · Market 716650

Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?

5.5% implied · bid 4.1¢ · ask 6.8¢

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A · Price & probability

The market prices this at 4.1%, up 0.1pt over 24h, on a 2.7¢ spread.

Implied probability4.1%
Bid / ask / mid4.1¢ / 6.8¢ / 5.5¢
Spread2.7¢ (49.5%)
Change 24h+0.10pt
Change 7d-2.75pt

B · Liquidity & flow

Thin (score 37/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$367
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$116 / $220
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score36.7 / 100

C · Momentum & volatility

RSI 30 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.8σ — an unusually large move.

Z-score vs 7d mean-2.81
RSI (14, hourly)29.5
Realized vol 7d0.24pt
Change 1h+0.05pt

E · Time & structure

Resolves in 129d 3h.

Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%

Price history

Probability timeline

Order-book depth