← Explore · Market 716823
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
16.5% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 17.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 16.0%, up 3.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability16.0%
Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 16.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (6.1%)
Change 24h+3.00pt
Change 7d+3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 49/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 3% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$31,509
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,036 / $1,283
Imbalance3% bid
Large trades (>$1k)1
Liquidity score48.7 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.9σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.93
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.49pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 129d 3h.
Time to resolve129d 3h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%