← Explore · Market 716823
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
30.5% implied · bid 30.0¢ · ask 31.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 31.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability31.0%
Bid / ask / mid30.0¢ / 31.0¢ / 30.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (3.3%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 55/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 8% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$4,344
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$625 / $19,315
Imbalance8% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score55.0 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 80 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.2σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.15
RSI (14, hourly)80.0
Realized vol 7d0.49pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 175d 2h.
Time to resolve175d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%