← Explore · Market 716826
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
13.0% implied · bid 12.0¢ · ask 14.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, down 1.5pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid12.0¢ / 14.0¢ / 13.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (15.4%)
Change 24h-1.50pt
Change 7d-2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$345
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,500 / $393
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 0 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 2.1σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean-2.12
RSI (14, hourly)0.0
Realized vol 7d0.16pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 175d 2h.
Time to resolve175d 2h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%