← Explore · Market 788518
New pandemic in 2026?
5.5% implied · bid 5.0¢ · ask 6.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 5.0%, up 0.0pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability5.0%
Bid / ask / mid5.0¢ / 6.0¢ / 5.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (18.2%)
Change 24h+0.00pt
Change 7d-3.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 48/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 0% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$6,910
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$1,875 / $4,002
Imbalance0% bid
Large trades (>$1k)2
Liquidity score47.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is below its 7-day mean by 1.7σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean-1.69
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.20pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 173d 21h.
Time to resolve173d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%