← Explore · Market 789406
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
15.0% implied · bid 14.0¢ · ask 16.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 13.0%, down 1.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability13.0%
Bid / ask / mid14.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 15.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (13.3%)
Change 24h-1.00pt
Change 7d+2.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 40/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$472
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$279 / $220
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.2 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 100 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.1σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.09
RSI (14, hourly)100.0
Realized vol 7d0.50pt
Change 1h+2.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 40d 22h.
Time to resolve40d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%