← Explore · Market 789406
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
17.0% implied · bid 16.0¢ · ask 18.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 18.0%, up 2.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability18.0%
Bid / ask / mid16.0¢ / 18.0¢ / 17.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (11.8%)
Change 24h+2.00pt
Change 7d-4.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,024
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$473 / $642
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score40.6 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 27 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean-0.43
RSI (14, hourly)27.3
Realized vol 7d0.60pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 86d 21h.
Time to resolve86d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%