← Explore · Market 789407
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
68.5% implied · bid 68.0¢ · ask 69.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 68.0%, down 3.5pt over 24h, on a 1.0¢ spread.
Implied probability68.0%
Bid / ask / mid68.0¢ / 69.0¢ / 68.5¢
Spread1.0¢ (1.5%)
Change 24h-3.50pt
Change 7d+6.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 54/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 6% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$694
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$3,171 / $14,531
Imbalance6% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score53.9 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 50 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 0.3σ — normal range.
Z-score vs 7d mean0.26
RSI (14, hourly)50.0
Realized vol 7d0.54pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 86d 21h.
Time to resolve86d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%