← Explore · Market 789407

Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?

70.5% implied · bid 69.0¢ · ask 72.0¢

The market prices this at 72.0%, up 1.0pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.

Implied probability72.0%

Bid / ask / mid69.0¢ / 72.0¢ / 70.5¢

Spread3.0¢ (4.3%)

Change 24h+1.00pt

Change 7d-4.00pt

Moderately liquid (score 46/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 9% to the ask (sellers).

Volume 24h$924

Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$6,895 / $14,183

Imbalance9% bid

Large trades (>$1k)0

Liquidity score45.5 / 100

RSI 25 (oversold); price is below its 7-day mean by 0.4σ — normal range.

Z-score vs 7d mean-0.36

RSI (14, hourly)25.0

Realized vol 7d1.20pt

Change 1h+0.50pt

Resolves in 40d 22h.

Time to resolve40d 22h

Resolution sourceunknown

Sum of outcomes100.0%