← Explore · Market 789408
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
16.0% implied · bid 15.0¢ · ask 17.0¢
A · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.0%, up 6.0pt over 24h, on a 2.0¢ spread.
Implied probability17.0%
Bid / ask / mid15.0¢ / 17.0¢ / 16.0¢
Spread2.0¢ (12.5%)
Change 24h+6.00pt
Change 7d+4.00pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Moderately liquid (score 41/100) — fine for normal sizes. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$3,363
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$910 / $1,327
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score41.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 79 (overbought); price is above its 7-day mean by 3.7σ — an unusually large move.
Z-score vs 7d mean3.68
RSI (14, hourly)78.6
Realized vol 7d0.44pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 86d 21h.
Time to resolve86d 21h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%