← Explore · Market 789408
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
14.5% implied · bid 13.0¢ · ask 16.0¢
☆ Log in to trackA · Price & probability
The market prices this at 17.0%, down 0.5pt over 24h, on a 3.0¢ spread.
Implied probability17.0%
Bid / ask / mid13.0¢ / 16.0¢ / 14.5¢
Spread3.0¢ (20.7%)
Change 24h-0.50pt
Change 7d+2.50pt
B · Liquidity & flow
Thin (score 35/100) — trade small; large orders will move the price. Order book leans 1% to the ask (sellers).
Volume 24h$810
Depth ±5¢ (bid/ask)$69 / $57
Imbalance1% bid
Large trades (>$1k)0
Liquidity score35.1 / 100
C · Momentum & volatility
RSI 33 (neutral); price is above its 7-day mean by 1.9σ — a mild deviation.
Z-score vs 7d mean1.89
RSI (14, hourly)33.3
Realized vol 7d0.45pt
Change 1h+0.00pt
E · Time & structure
Resolves in 40d 22h.
Time to resolve40d 22h
Resolution sourceunknown
Sum of outcomes100.0%